False Advertising

There's been a trend in real estate advertising lately. Even though its both strange and anoying, I've been hesitant to criticize my fellow realtors.

There has been an increasing tendency for people with little or no sales in the downtown area to advertise themselves specialists in lofts or downtown experts.

As a realtor, I can look up the number of sales an agent has made downtown within a minute or two. While we were hesitant to proclaim any special knowledge of downtown, after several million in loft sales, it seemed appropriate. What's hard to understand is how anyone would advertise as a specialist in an area that they've never worked in.

There may be some that think this is about a fear of competition. The idea of more realtors entering the downtown market is really exciting to me actually. It means that there are people trying to learn the different variables that we have to deal with downtown that aren't a part of suburban real estate. It also might mean the end of hearing stories of realtors trying to dissuade thier clients from looking downtown by saying, "you don't want to go down there." Lastly, it means that when the developer's find other areas to develop, that there will be a community of professoinals available to keep the real estate market moving downtown.

To all the aspiring "downtown specialists," lets keep it real.

Dog Park on Hold Again

We're going to have a dog park, OK! Sometimes delays can be a good thing. Aparently there's a collaborative plan by a few residential developer's that would support infrastructure improvements around their developments. The plan is through a State program called MODESA Lucas Park, where we thought we could build a dog park, is one of the locations. The plan sounds like a great thing and I'm really excited about it. The hope is that being a state funded project doesn't limit the scope or timeframe of what could be done.
We'll be having another dog park meeting sometime in mid to late January to regroup and see what we can do to get something going now. In the meantime, we are in contact with developer's involved with the MODESA plans and might have some positive influence on what these developments can bring to the downtown community.

Tragic Accident at Syndicate

This morning a client forwarded this to us. What a terrible shame. Our prayer's go out to the family of this man.
News video of Syndicate accident.

Downtown Sales Surge-Interest Rates drop

With the Holiday's fast approaching, one wouldn't think that we would be experiencing a spike in sales activity downtown.

Of course, home sales have always been more impacted by the interest rates than just about anything. Rates have plummeted of late and are hovering around the lowest rates of the year. Weekly rate averages.

During a "Buyer's market" the supply is usually good too. So with plenty of selection, rock bottom interest rates, and lots of motivated seller's, Now is really a great time to buy.

Cheap Publicity

A couple of months back, we all heard that the Nationwide Crime statistics were available from Morgan Quitno Press in Kansas. The reason we all heard was because they had innacurately listed us as the most dangerous city in America. What a joke.

Granted, we all want to see crime reduced. With all the clean up going on throughout the city, and the large influx of people moving into the city, we all expect a positive impact on safety.

The bottom line though, is that the reports released during the World Series games in St. Louis were not an accurate portrayal, and were basically an attempt to sell books. Channel 5 sent out a reporter to ask a few questions. The televised interview really shows one thing: these reports should be the work of trained criminologists, not used to sell books.

Enjoy.

Here's the video of the interview.

Ultimate Model: Ballpark Village

Last nights meeting at the Cordish offices was an eye opening event. The past year or so, coverage of Ballpark Village has been informative but not adequate to give me a real feel of the neighborhood.

Our meeting was another example of the hard work of the Downtown Residents Association and their efforts to help people get knowledgable about downtown.

The meeting was led by Chase Martin of Cordish, and Bill DeWitt III of the Cardinals. I loved the way they described each block and street within the village as having a different focus. Starting with the "family block" at 8th and Clark to the "Live Music Block", to the "Cardinals Nation Block" and what they were looking to do to keep the village alive during offseason months. I found photos of the model online here.

Our interest being mostly the large residential component, I found that Phase 1 of Ballpark Village will include between 250-350 residential units and will be completed by approximately 2009. According to the current plans, these will be units above the currently planned retail. The three towers wouldn't be started until after the footprints of the buildings are complete. These tower's would house the bulk of the residential. After the meeting we discussed the residential component--which due to the mass of amenities in the area--would be priced higher than anything we've seen thus far downtown.

With Park Pacific being sold at $250-350 per square foot, we can only assume that a place in Ballpark Village won't be a value. I pressed for a figure, but left with the sound reasoning that they didn't want to release any number until a realistic construction estimate could be made. So we'll probably be waiting a while.

Value or not....I've got my place picked out already.

Food For Thought: The Rams on Monday Night

It's looking like the Championships are going to be limited to one this year, which is plenty. As I was watching the Ram's miss tackles and the referee's miss calls, I thought about some of the "mixed use" zones being developed downtown. If the Cardinals missed the playoffs this year and the Ram's were 9 and 3 and going into the playoffs, would the Ballpark Village idea be on life support with the Bottle District moving forward at full speed? Of course, the Ram's really don't have anything to do with the Bottle District except proximity to the dome.

There have been different renderings of the Ballpark village released to date, but tomorrow a model will be unveiled at the Cordish offices downtown. I plan to be there. I saw a flyer posted for it over the weekend. The meeting will be at 6pm Sharp at the Boatmen's Building (800 Market). Look for details here tomorrow.

Looking for a new post?

Lately we have been working to find some help. Based on the news media, you'd think all the real estate professionals would be scanning the help wanted pages. That doesn't seem to be the case.

Just after the loft tour, our assistant flew the coup. We need someone else and have been talking with people from all over. It's really a trip. So if you're out there and have an interest in real estate, downtown, or lofts, drop us a line at info@4SaleStLouis.com and attatch a resume. We'd love to hear from you!

Let Festivus Begin!

Festivus begins again this year with the First Friday Gallery Walk.
It should be a great chance to get out to some great downtown shops and see some great art all over town.

The two story gem at Jack Thompson that we have listed will be hosting artist SJ Hammack's works from 5-9pm. Wine & Cheese will be provided. Despite the weather, we are expecting a nice turnout.

For information on what is being held open, visit the downtowngallerywalk.com
and SJ Hammacks website

Put on your boots and come on over!

Power to the People

Last week I stayed up to 3:30am watching election results and listening to political speculation. It's something I can only handle every couple years or so. Thankfully, the elections tonight won't be quite as complicated.

The Downtown St. Louis Residents Association will be filling some board positions tonight at their quarterly meeting. 6:30pm at Jack Patricks (1000 Olive) This group really works to make downtown a better place to live. There's no reason not to participate!

One added incentive, the people that are involved love downtown too. So you will have something in common already.

This Place is for the Dogs!

For quite some time now, there has been a movement to put a dog park downtown. At the last residents meeting, a committee was mentioned to take some plans and make them a reality. Presently petitions are being circulated to take a portion of Lucas Park and turn it into an attractive fenced park for dogs to mingle freely. This is a win-win situation for downtown. For more information, email me--our next meeting is scheduled for 11/20.
petition

Detroit Tries To Compare

One great thing about the World Series, other than a St. Louis Victory, At Home in front of thousands of crazed fans, was the surge of cash and attention into the downtown area. My friend Chris, will be happy to see his relatively new / old restaurant on Olive at 7th, Teutenbergs was mentioned in this Detroit News article It is a pretty good article about how our state tax credits are superior to what is available in Michigan and that there was greater momentum (comparaed to Detroit) in our downtown according to the author.

Having never been to Detroit, I wouldn't know.

Oh, yeah, and there's ballpark village too. What a time for the Redbirds to pull together a World Series Championship! The deal with the city was going to happen anyway, but what timing.

This graphic in the Post-Disgrace didn't give me the clarity I'd hoped to have. The spoof article in the RFT that talked about the email combat going on between some of the key players in Ballpark Village gave me a Picaso-esqe visual of what 'could be.'
Despite the fact that it was clearly a joke, that article really got me wondering how the whole village was going to come together. I look forward to seeing more to come but overall I have a great feeling about how this project will tie together downtown. Looking at a map of downtown--5 blocks to the north of the new Village is the luxury condos being built in the shell of St. Louis Center with several other buildings filling in around the Old Post Office. The new added investment by the Cardinals organization and the 30% public bonds is not only helping the continued re-birth of downtown but also a sign of confidence from our storied summer residents.

Big Times Downtown

Jim Edmunds to sing at Copia? Wouldn't that be special. Watching Adam Wainright strike out Carlos Beltran to win game 7 and the NL pennant was awesome. After the hysteria, we finished some work to get ready for the Fall Downtown Living Tour being held this weekend. All of our loft listings are being held open and there's lots of preparations. The thought crossed my mind that an even better opportunity to show off our wonderful downtown neighborhoods may come when the Redbirds come back in town for the World Series. The World Series berth would also be a great springboard for the Cardinals to start selling Ballpark Village condos. Unfortunately it doesn't appear that can happen so quickly. Despite my doubts, I attempted to contact Cordish Co. today. Hopefully more to follow soon.

Be SEEN at the Loft Tour!

2 Story Loft of the Century!

The absolute coolest loft downtown has just been placed on the market. This unbeatable 3000 square foot space in the Jack Thompson Square lofts will be open both days of the Downtown Living Tour on October 21 and 22 from 12-4. Regardless of whether someone is in the market or in this price range--go see it!! It is the first time I have EVER related a loft to the grandeur of the Grand Canyon.

What also makes this loft stand out is the incidental expenses of condo living. The fees for this baby are less than the fees for a 703 square foot loft in the Knickerbocker!! Taxes are abated too.

A bit of Frontenac on Washington Ave for $589,900

National Fan Base

In the past year, its been tough keeping up with the tremendous amount of press that our downtown renaissance has gotten. A friend from afar, the New York Times, has published on our city several times in the past couple years. Outside of the St. Louis Business Journal--downtown's biggest fan--the Times has had lots of favorable write-ups.

This weeks article discusses the turning point that developer's and loft buyer's are beginning to face. Since most of the projects have stopped offering tax abatment, the market has continued without significant disruption. Now it's the developer's turn: will they continue to build without the incentives that they have been granted that helped start this movement? The answer seems like a clear, "yes" at this point.

Awesome New Listing!

Today we held our newest listings downtown open. What a perfect day! Between Taste of St. Louis, the NL Central Champion Cardinals game, and the return of Mad Mike to the dome, it seemed like downtown was stuffed with people.

This new listing at the 2020 Lofts is a 1 or optional 2 bedroom 2 full bath loft with a perfect view of the downtown skyline. Most of the viewings of a residential property are during the day. This great space has just an incredible eastern view all day but especially at night. Around the corner from Nectar and Schlafly's Tap Room, the Lofts at 2020 are situated in the center of the development in Downtown West.

This unit has 2 parking spots, a great common rooftop deck and the LOW LOW tax bill of around $135 per year. The $229,900 price would have the same payment as a loft selling for around $185,000!!

Interest Rates Drop Again

For those committed to analyzing the real estate market, it seems to have picked up a bit downtown. Who really knows why? One explanation may be the interest rates have continued to drop. Pretty good news, huh. Maybe if interest and gas prices continue to drop, we may see another real estate frenzy.

Seriously though, while it stinks to see good properties sit on the market, seeing the real estate market level off in 2006 isn't all bad. It's just the way it is.

600 Washington Designer Contest

The St. Louis Business Journal, now relocated in the Old Post Office, has always been a wealth of information about the rebirth of Downtown. The first thing I do after the mail comes on Friday is scour the paper for downtown news.

This week the paper had an article about Pyramids redevelopment of St. Louis Centre. Of course, this redevelopment may be the most anticipated since the construction of the Gateway Arch. Some basics: 120 units, prices starting at $155,000 through $800,000, first floor retail facing the street with pool and courtyard inside for owners. All & all it sounds like a plan.

At the Pyramid Sales office lately I've been looking at the three different arcitechtural renderings for the building and the one selected seemed like the top contender. As described in the article though, it was a difficult decision to go with a firm who was also a competing developer. Its so nice to see everyone playing nicely in the downtown sandbox!

Downtown's Most Important Event of the Year!

Downtown, like every neighborhood in every city, has its issues. The time to really air things out seems to be on the immediate horizon.

Thanks to the good work by the Downtown St. Louis Residents Association, their group wide meeting next Thursday will host Phyllis Young and Lewis Reed, two of the Alderman serving downtown and Kevin Farrell of the Downtown St. Louis Partnership. If you care about downtown and want to be a part of the positive changes happening, BE THERE!

As the downtown population continues to grow, it is important for the new residents to appreciate what has already been accomplished by The Residents banding together to make downtown a better place to live. While there may be lots of other people standing up to take credit for what has happened to our inner city, the vision of the people who live here HAS TO BE HEARD above all the rest of the hoopla. As the population grows, so can the positive benefits of this organization.

DETAILS:

Thursday September 14th, at 6:30pm. Webster University Old Post Office Campus, classroom 2.

To Join DSLRA its just $7.50 after July 1.

What does a Buyer's Market mean to me?

What a joke! A buyer's market.....who knew?

Back in the 2nd grade, we all learned how to add and subtract. That is all we will ever need to determine the type of housing market in a given area. Take the number of available units, subtract the number of buyer's in the market, if the number is zero, we have a neutral market, if the number is positive then we have a buyer's market, negative...a seller's market.

That may be a slight oversimplification.

In reality, looking at that simple formula the loft district has probably always been a buyer's market. It is the greatest neighborhood expansion within the city of St. Louis since the 1940's. In the past two years, if you consider pre-construction, there has never been a period when buyer's have outnumbered the available units on the market.

Having said all this, what does all this mean to the person buying or selling today. Have lofts started to depreciate?

Thanks to the national media, the perception exists that all you poor saps selling a home today will practically give your place away. Buyer's are coming into the market expecting greater than 10% off the price of lofts.

Of course, if a loft is overpriced by 10%, which is not at all hard to find, then maybe we will see that type of drop. If you sell with an agent that understands the way of pricing lofts and ALL the factors--square footage, number of windows, parking, finishes, comparable sales--the whole tamale, then you shouldn't have to drop your price by more than a few percent.

In all the loft re-sales since July 1, only one loft has sold for more than 10% off its asking price--and considering it was only on the market for 30 days I was
shocked. The average percentage of asking price that buyer's paid from 7/1 through 9/1 is 97.26%. I doubt that figure differs much from the average for the super hot year of 2005.

What's the final assessment? Are we seeing lots of buyer's starting to swarm the market getting decent deals? Hardly. What I've seen is a lot of buyer's walking away from good opportunities due to unreasonably high expectations of what the buyer's market means.